Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonagas II to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceMonagas II or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.57
Monagas II vs Aragua FC preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Monagas II take on Aragua FC on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). Monagas II are 1st with 45 points from 25 games (top of the table), while Aragua FC sit 2nd on 43 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monagas II's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Petare FC 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Aragua FC's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Yaracuyanos FC 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Monagas II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Aragua FC 1–2 Monagas II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Monagas II and 0.6 for Aragua FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monagas II 64%, draw 25%, Aragua FC 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Monagas II to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monagas II 1–0 Aragua FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monagas II64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Aragua FC11%fair 8.85 · @4.50
2.23Expected goals
1.68Monagas II xG
0.56Aragua FC xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Monagas II 1.7 – 0.6 Aragua FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
Our pick is Monagas II to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
On our numbers Monagas II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aragua FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
Our predicted score is Monagas II 1–0 Aragua FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Monagas II vs Aragua FC?
Monagas II vs Aragua FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
