Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Probiy Horodenka take on Oleksandria on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Probiy Horodenka's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Oleksandria's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Prykarpattia 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oleksandria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.7 for Probiy Horodenka and 2.1 for Oleksandria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Probiy Horodenka 0–2 Oleksandria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Probiy Horodenka12%fair 8.65 · @5.75
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Oleksandria68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
2.80Expected goals
0.74Probiy Horodenka xG
2.07Oleksandria xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Probiy Horodenka 0.7 – 2.1 Oleksandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oleksandria to win✗
68%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Oleksandria or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Oleksandria ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oleksandria / FT Oleksandria✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Probiy Horodenka – last 6
LLWLDL
5 Sep
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–6
L
30 Aug
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–1
W
14 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oleksandria – last 6
DWWWWD
5 Sep
@ Prykarpattia
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Bratslav Vinnytsia
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Inhulets
3–0
W
31 Jul
@ UCSA
4–4
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Probiy Horodenka and Oleksandria.
What is the prediction for Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
On our numbers Probiy Horodenka have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oleksandria 68%.
How many goals will there be in Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
Our predicted score is Probiy Horodenka 0–2 Oleksandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria?
Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandria (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1
Livyi Bereh1
Polessya2
Kudrivka0