Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Melaka vs Penang preview and prediction
The match
Penang travel to Hang Jebat Stadium in the FA Cup on Wednesday 2 September (13:00 WAT) to face Melaka.
Form guide
Melaka's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Negeri Sembilan 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Penang's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Melaka and 1.7 for Penang. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melaka 27%, draw 20%, Penang 53%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Penang to win – a 53% chance at odds of 2.50, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Melaka 0–1 Penang. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melaka27%fair 3.68 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Penang53%fair 1.90 · @2.50
2.87Expected goals
1.15Melaka xG
1.72Penang xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Melaka 1.1 – 1.7 Penang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penang to win✓
53%
1.90
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penang / FT Penang✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Form
Melaka – last 6
WLDLWW
30 Aug
vs Negeri Sembilan
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Terengganu
0–3
L
3 May
@ Negeri Sembilan
0–0
D
28 Apr
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sabah FA
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kelantan United
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penang – last 6
LLWDDW
28 Aug
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs DPMM FC Brunei
0–1
L
15 May
vs DPMM FC Brunei
2–1
W
8 May
@ Pdrm
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Sabah FA
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Kelantan United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melaka and Penang.
Our pick is Penang to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.
Who will win Melaka vs Penang?
On our numbers Melaka have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Penang 53%.
How many goals will there be in Melaka vs Penang?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melaka vs Penang?
Our predicted score is Melaka 0–1 Penang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Melaka vs Penang?
Melaka vs Penang (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hang Jebat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.