Value bet: ADT to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.94
ADT vs Sporting Cristal preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Cristal travel to Estadio Alberto Gallardo in the on Sunday 27 September (21:15 WAT) to face ADT.
Form guide
ADT's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Cienciano 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Atletico Grau 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Sporting Cristal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for ADT and 1.4 for Sporting Cristal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: ADT to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: ADT 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADT34%fair 2.97 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Sporting Cristal44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.22ADT xG
1.44Sporting Cristal xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: ADT 1.2 – 1.4 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers ADT have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Cristal 44%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
ADT vs Sporting Cristal () kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
