Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.93
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
Rentistas host Plaza Colonia in the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Rentistas's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Colón 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Plaza Colonia's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Sportivo Huracan 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Plaza Colonia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 August 2026, finished Rentistas 1–1 Plaza Colonia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.6 for Rentistas and 0.9 for Plaza Colonia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rentistas 29%, draw 24%, Plaza Colonia 47%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Plaza Colonia to win at 2.50 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Rentistas 0–0 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rentistas29%fair 3.47 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Plaza Colonia47%fair 2.11 · @2.50
1.50Expected goals
0.59Rentistas xG
0.91Plaza Colonia xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–120%
1–013%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%
From our goals model: Rentistas 0.6 – 0.9 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Rentistas have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plaza Colonia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Rentistas 0–0 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia?
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
