Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 56% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +85%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.30
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✗82% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah preview and prediction
The match
The FIFA Intercontinental Cup sees Mamelodi Sundowns take on Al-Ahli Jeddah on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Form guide
Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Chippa United 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Pakhtakor 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.4 for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.6 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw (82%) at 1.35.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 2.38.
Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 56% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mamelodi Sundowns18%fair 5.56 · @2.90
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.30
Al-Ahli Jeddah26%fair 3.87 · @2.05
1.00Expected goals
0.44Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.56Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
50%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–04%
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 0.4 – 0.6 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.78
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.38 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
37%
2.72
–
Form
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
DWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Chippa United
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Siwelele
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Golden Arrows
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Milford FC
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Golden Arrows
3–2
W
26 Aug
vs Amazulu
5–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
DWLWLL
14 Sep
vs Pakhtakor
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Al-Hazm
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
4 Sep
vs Al Riyadh
5–0
W
1 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Al Kholood
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamelodi Sundowns and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 26%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (FIFA Intercontinental Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
