Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Santa Fe travel to face Vasco DA Gama in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Tuesday 15 September (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Gremio 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Fe's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Deportes Tolima 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 September 2026, finished Santa Fe 0–0 Vasco DA Gama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Vasco DA Gama and 0.6 for Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 63%, draw 23%, Santa Fe 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vasco DA Gama to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.70
Santa Fe14%fair 7.25 · @6.00
2.13Expected goals
1.57Vasco DA Gama xG
0.56Santa Fe xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.6 – 0.6 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Vasco DA Gama to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Fe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
