Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalamata to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceKalamata or draw ✓90% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.83
Kalamata vs Larisa preview and prediction
The match
Larisa travel to Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium in the Cup on Thursday 17 September (14:30 WAT) to face Kalamata.
Form guide
Kalamata's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Volos NFC 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Larisa's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Zakynthos 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 3.0 for Kalamata and 1.4 for Larisa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 81% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalamata 66%, draw 24%, Larisa 10%.
Safer route: Kalamata or draw (90%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kalamata 3–1 Larisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalamata66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Larisa10%fair 10.13 · @5.00
4.40Expected goals
3.03Kalamata xG
1.37Larisa xG
64%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Kalamata 3.0 – 1.4 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalamata to win✗
66%
1.51
1.57
Double chance
Kalamata or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Kalamata ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalamata / FT Kalamata✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.83
–
Form
Kalamata – last 6
WDDLLW
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–3
L
19 Aug
vs Panetolikos
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
WDLWWL
12 Sep
vs Zakynthos
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Anagennisi Karditsas
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–4
L
17 Aug
@ Kallithea
3–1
W
11 Aug
@ Trikala
4–0
W
21 May
@ Kifisia
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalamata and Larisa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Kalamata vs Larisa?
On our numbers Kalamata have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larisa 10%.
How many goals will there be in Kalamata vs Larisa?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Kalamata 3–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Kalamata vs Larisa?
Kalamata vs Larisa (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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