Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✓70% · @1.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.90
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC preview and prediction
The match
AEK Athens FC travel to Municipal Stadium of Chrysoupoli in the Cup on Wednesday 2 September (15:00 WAT) to face Nestos Chrisoupolis.
Form guide
Nestos Chrisoupolis's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Apollon Pontou 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AEK Athens FC's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Kifisia 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Nestos Chrisoupolis and 1.6 for AEK Athens FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 53% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.35 – 53% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–1 AEK Athens FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nestos Chrisoupolis15%fair 6.60 · @23.00
Draw14%fair 6.93 · @6.80
AEK Athens FC70%fair 1.42 · @1.11
2.06Expected goals
0.46Nestos Chrisoupolis xG
1.60AEK Athens FC xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–216%
0–013%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.5 – 1.6 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✓
70%
1.42
1.11
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.53 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.90
–
Form
Nestos Chrisoupolis – last 6
WDWWWD
19 Aug
vs Apollon Pontou
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Kavala
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs PAS Giannina
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Makedonikos Neapolis
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kampaniakos Chalastra
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ PAS Giannina
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
DWWDDW
30 Aug
@ Kifisia
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Levski Sofia
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
4–0
W
18 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs OFI
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Kallithea
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Nestos Chrisoupolis have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 14% and AEK Athens FC 70%.
How many goals will there be in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC?
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Stadium of Chrysoupoli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marko2
Kifisia2
Larisa0
Olympiakos Piraeus4
PAOK0
OFI0