Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✗68% · @1.29
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Independiente del Valle travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Friday 18 September (01:30 WAT) to face Flamengo. Flamengo are 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 13 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Corinthians 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Libertad 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 September 2026, finished Independiente del Valle 0–2 Flamengo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Independiente del Valle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flamengo 68%, draw 20%, Independiente del Valle 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flamengo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Flamengo 1–0 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo68%fair 1.47 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @5.00
Independiente del Valle12%fair 8.37 · @9.00
2.59Expected goals
1.94Flamengo xG
0.65Independiente del Valle xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Flamengo 1.9 – 0.7 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Independiente del Valle 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle?
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
