Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗63% · @1.45
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✗82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Deportivo La Guaira take on Estudiantes de Merida FC on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Deportivo La Guaira's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Rayo Zuliano 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Puerto Cabello 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.7 for Estudiantes de Merida FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Guaira 63%, draw 19%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Guaira63%fair 1.59 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.75
Estudiantes de Merida FC18%fair 5.52 · @6.75
2.41Expected goals
1.69Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.72Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.7 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
