Value bet: Trujillanos FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonagas SC to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.84
Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Trujillanos FC take on Monagas SC on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT). Trujillanos FC are 11th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Monagas SC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Trujillanos FC's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Lara 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monagas SC's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Bolívar 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Monagas SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Monagas SC 3–1 Trujillanos FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Trujillanos FC and 1.4 for Monagas SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trujillanos FC 33%, draw 22%, Monagas SC 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Trujillanos FC to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Trujillanos FC 1–1 Monagas SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trujillanos FC33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Monagas SC44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.49Expected goals
1.13Trujillanos FC xG
1.36Monagas SC xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Trujillanos FC 1.1 – 1.4 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Trujillanos FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monagas SC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Trujillanos FC 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC?
Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.