Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Siroki Brijeg to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSiroki Brijeg to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceSiroki Brijeg or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik preview and prediction
The match
Čelik travel to Stadion Pecara in the Premijer Liga on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT) to face Siroki Brijeg. Siroki Brijeg are 4th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Čelik sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Siroki Brijeg's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Sloga Doboj 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Čelik's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Zrinjski 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 August 2026, finished Čelik 1–2 Siroki Brijeg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Siroki Brijeg and 0.7 for Čelik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Siroki Brijeg to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Siroki Brijeg or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Čelik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siroki Brijeg60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.00
Čelik17%fair 6.04 · @3.75
2.40Expected goals
1.66Siroki Brijeg xG
0.74Čelik xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Siroki Brijeg 1.7 – 0.7 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Our pick is Siroki Brijeg or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
On our numbers Siroki Brijeg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Čelik 17%.
How many goals will there be in Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Our predicted score is Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Čelik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pecara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
