Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceFenix or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Fenix vs Miramar preview and prediction
The match
Fenix host Miramar in the Segunda División on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Parque Capurro. Fenix are 11th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Miramar sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Liverpool Montevideo 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Miramar's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Rentistas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fenix arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Miramar 1–1 Fenix.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Fenix and 0.7 for Miramar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 61%, draw 22%, Miramar 17%.
Safer route: Fenix or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fenix to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fenix 1–0 Miramar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Miramar17%fair 5.89 · @3.80
2.41Expected goals
1.67Fenix xG
0.73Miramar xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.7 – 0.7 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fenix to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Fenix vs Miramar?
On our numbers Fenix have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Miramar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Miramar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Miramar?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–0 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Miramar?
Fenix vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
