Value bet: Thai Nguyen to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBinh Duong to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen preview and prediction
The match
Binh Duong host Thai Nguyen in the V.League 2 on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Binh Duong's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Ho Chi Minh 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thai Nguyen's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Bóng đá Huế 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Binh Duong and 1.4 for Thai Nguyen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Thai Nguyen to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Binh Duong 2–1 Thai Nguyen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Binh Duong40%fair 2.51 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Thai Nguyen38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
2.89Expected goals
1.47Binh Duong xG
1.42Thai Nguyen xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Binh Duong 1.5 – 1.4 Thai Nguyen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Binh Duong to win✗
40%
2.51
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Binh Duong / FT Binh Duong✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Binh Duong – last 6
WWWDWW
18 Oct
@ Ho Chi Minh
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Lam Dong
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Thanh Hóa
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Văn Hiến
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Ho Chi Minh
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Long An
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thai Nguyen – last 3
WWW
18 Oct
vs Bóng đá Huế
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Dong Thap
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Binh Dinh
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Binh Duong and Thai Nguyen.
What is the prediction for Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
On our numbers Binh Duong have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thai Nguyen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
Our predicted score is Binh Duong 2–1 Thai Nguyen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen (V.League 2) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanna Khanh Hoa1
Than Quang Ninh1