Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.77
Moca vs Jarabacoa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Mayor sees Moca take on Jarabacoa on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT). Moca are 4th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Jarabacoa sit 7th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Moca's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Universidad O&M 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Jarabacoa's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Delfines Del Este 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Moca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Moca and 0.5 for Jarabacoa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 37%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moca 70%, draw 23%, Jarabacoa 8%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moca to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Moca 1–0 Jarabacoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moca70%fair 1.43 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.50
Jarabacoa8%fair 13.03 · @7.50
2.39Expected goals
1.89Moca xG
0.50Jarabacoa xG
37%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Moca 1.9 – 0.5 Jarabacoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Moca to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Moca vs Jarabacoa?
On our numbers Moca have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jarabacoa 8%.
How many goals will there be in Moca vs Jarabacoa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moca vs Jarabacoa?
Our predicted score is Moca 1–0 Jarabacoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Moca vs Jarabacoa?
Moca vs Jarabacoa (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
