Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalcedo to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceSalcedo or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.95
Salcedo vs Moca preview and prediction
The match
Moca travel to face Salcedo in the Liga Mayor on Sunday 4 October (21:00 WAT). Salcedo are 1st with 35 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Moca sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Salcedo's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Delfines Del Este 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Moca's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Vega Real 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Salcedo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 August 2026, finished Moca 0–0 Salcedo. Across their last 2 meetings Salcedo have won 1, Moca 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Salcedo and 0.7 for Moca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Salcedo 60%, draw 23%, Moca 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Salcedo to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Salcedo 1–0 Moca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salcedo60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Moca17%fair 5.86 · @4.75
2.23Expected goals
1.56Salcedo xG
0.67Moca xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Salcedo 1.6 – 0.7 Moca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Salcedo to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Salcedo vs Moca?
On our numbers Salcedo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moca 17%.
How many goals will there be in Salcedo vs Moca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salcedo vs Moca?
Our predicted score is Salcedo 1–0 Moca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Salcedo vs Moca?
Salcedo vs Moca (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.