Value bet: Delfines Del Este to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDelfines Del Este to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Moca vs Delfines Del Este preview and prediction
The match
Moca host Delfines Del Este in the Liga Mayor on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Polideportivo Moca 85. Moca are 4th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Delfines Del Este sit 6th on 17 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Moca's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Atlántico 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Delfines Del Este's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Vega Real 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Moca 1–0 Delfines Del Este.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Moca and 0.9 for Delfines Del Este. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moca 38%, draw 24%, Delfines Del Este 38%.
Value angle: Delfines Del Este to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moca 0–0 Delfines Del Este. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moca38%fair 2.63 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Delfines Del Este38%fair 2.63 · @3.10
1.72Expected goals
0.86Moca xG
0.86Delfines Del Este xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Moca 0.9 – 0.9 Delfines Del Este expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
On our numbers Moca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Delfines Del Este 38%.
How many goals will there be in Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
Our predicted score is Moca 0–0 Delfines Del Este, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
Moca vs Delfines Del Este (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Polideportivo Moca 85.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
