Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMoca to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓73% · fair 1.38
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓23% · fair 4.38
Jarabacoa vs Moca preview and prediction
The match
Jarabacoa host Moca in the Liga Mayor on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Jarabacoa are 7th with 5 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Moca sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jarabacoa's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Delfines Del Este 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Moca's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Universidad O&M 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 0.8 goals: 0.3 for Jarabacoa and 0.5 for Moca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 95% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jarabacoa 31%, draw 22%, Moca 47%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jarabacoa31%fair 3.18 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Moca47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
0.83Expected goals
0.31Jarabacoa xG
0.52Moca xG
27%Both score
5%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–044%
0–123%
1–013%
1–17%
0–26%
2–02%
From our goals model: Jarabacoa 0.3 – 0.5 Moca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moca to win✓
47%
2.14
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
23%
4.38
–
Form
Jarabacoa – last 3
LWL
29 Aug
@ Delfines Del Este
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Atlántico
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Cibao
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Moca – last 6
DDDWDL
30 Aug
@ Universidad O&M
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs Salcedo
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Vega Real
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Delfines Del Este
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Cibao
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Cibao
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarabacoa and Moca.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jarabacoa vs Moca?
On our numbers Jarabacoa have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moca 47%.
How many goals will there be in Jarabacoa vs Moca?
We expect about 0.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 5% likely and both teams score 27% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarabacoa vs Moca?
Our predicted score is Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.8 goals in total.
When is Jarabacoa vs Moca?
Jarabacoa vs Moca (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
