Value bet: Al Sharq to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Sharq to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.71
Al Sharq vs Najran preview and prediction
The match
Al Sharq host Najran in the Division 2 on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 13:10 (WAT). Al Sharq are 1st with 14 points from 6 games (top of the table), while Najran sit 26th on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Al Sharq's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Al Shoalah 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Najran's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Jerash 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Al Sharq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Najran 0–1 Al Sharq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for Al Sharq and 1.2 for Najran. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Sharq 48%, draw 22%, Najran 30%.
Value angle: Al Sharq to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Al Sharq 1–1 Najran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Sharq48%fair 2.08 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Najran30%fair 3.32 · @2.80
2.71Expected goals
1.55Al Sharq xG
1.16Najran xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Sharq 1.6 – 1.2 Najran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Al Sharq vs Najran?
On our numbers Al Sharq have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Najran 30%.
How many goals will there be in Al Sharq vs Najran?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Sharq vs Najran?
Our predicted score is Al Sharq 1–1 Najran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Sharq vs Najran?
Al Sharq vs Najran (Division 2) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 13:10 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
