Value bet: Al Safa to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Safa to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Al Qwarah vs Al Safa preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 sees Al Qwarah take on Al Safa on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 13:25 (WAT). Al Qwarah are 12th with 7 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Al Safa sit 9th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Qwarah's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Al Qalah 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Al Safa's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Al-Ain 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Safa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Al Qwarah and 1.4 for Al Safa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Qwarah 38%, draw 23%, Al Safa 39%.
Value angle: Al Safa to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Al Qwarah 1–1 Al Safa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Qwarah38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Al Safa39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.76Expected goals
1.36Al Qwarah xG
1.40Al Safa xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Al Qwarah 1.4 – 1.4 Al Safa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Safa to win✗
39%
2.55
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Safa / FT Al Safa✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Form
Al Qwarah – last 3
LLD
23 Oct
@ Al Qalah
1–3
L
16 Oct
vs Baish
2–3
L
9 Oct
@ Al Baten
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Safa – last 6
LWDWLL
23 Oct
vs Al-Ain
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Afif
2–1
W
9 Apr
vs Al-Kawkab
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Al Qous
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Al Saqer
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Al Loa
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Qwarah and Al Safa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
On our numbers Al Qwarah have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Safa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
Our predicted score is Al Qwarah 1–1 Al Safa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
Al Qwarah vs Al Safa (Division 2) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:25 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
