Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Barnaul travel to face Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod in the Second League Group 4 on Sunday 25 October (10:00 WAT). Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3rd with 43 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Dinamo Barnaul sit 6th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to KDV 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Dinamo Barnaul's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Krylya Sovetov II 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dinamo Barnaul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 September 2026, finished Dinamo Barnaul 2–2 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Across their last 3 meetings Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have won 1, Dinamo Barnaul 1, with 1 draw and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and 1.9 for Dinamo Barnaul. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–1 Dinamo Barnaul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod33%fair 3.01 · @3.03
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
Dinamo Barnaul48%fair 2.10 · @2.02
3.46Expected goals
1.56Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod xG
1.91Dinamo Barnaul xG
70%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1.6 – 1.9 Dinamo Barnaul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?
On our numbers Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dinamo Barnaul 48%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Our predicted score is Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–1 Dinamo Barnaul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
