Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
1
Value bet: Nosta to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIzhevsk to win ✗45% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Nosta vs Izhevsk preview and prediction
The match
Nosta host Izhevsk in the Second League Group 4 on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT). Nosta are 11th with 18 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Izhevsk sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nosta's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Orenburg II 1–5 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Izhevsk's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Rubin Kazan 2 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Izhevsk 1–2 Nosta. Across their last 3 meetings Nosta have won 1, Izhevsk 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Nosta and 1.6 for Izhevsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nosta 32%, draw 23%, Izhevsk 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.52.
Value angle: Nosta to win at 3.45 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: Nosta 1–1 Izhevsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nosta32%fair 3.14 · @3.45
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Izhevsk45%fair 2.23 · @2.14
2.89Expected goals
1.30Nosta xG
1.59Izhevsk xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Nosta 1.3 – 1.6 Izhevsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Nosta vs Izhevsk?
On our numbers Nosta have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Izhevsk 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nosta vs Izhevsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosta vs Izhevsk?
Our predicted score is Nosta 1–1 Izhevsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nosta vs Izhevsk?
Nosta vs Izhevsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
