Nosta host Orenburg II in the Second League Group 4 on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Nosta are 11th with 18 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Orenburg II sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nosta's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Chelyabinsk II 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Orenburg II's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Rubin Kazan 2 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Orenburg II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Nosta 1–0 Orenburg II. Across their last 2 meetings Nosta have won 1, Orenburg II 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Nosta and 1.5 for Orenburg II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nosta 35%, draw 20%, Orenburg II 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.68.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Nosta 1–1 Orenburg II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nosta35%fair 2.87 · @2.79
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Orenburg II45%fair 2.24 · @2.24
2.86Expected goals
1.32Nosta xG
1.54Orenburg II xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Nosta 1.3 – 1.5 Orenburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Nosta vs Orenburg II?
On our numbers Nosta have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Orenburg II 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nosta vs Orenburg II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosta vs Orenburg II?
Our predicted score is Nosta 1–1 Orenburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nosta vs Orenburg II?
Nosta vs Orenburg II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
