V.League 1 · Vietnam · Hang Day Stadium
Công An Nhân Dân
Ho Chi Minh
Công An Nhân Dân vs Ho Chi Minh prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Công An Nhân Dân 1.8 – 0.6 Ho Chi Minh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Công An Nhân Dân are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 12% for Ho Chi Minh.
Công An Nhân Dân have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Ho Chi Minh have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Ho Chi Minh come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Công An Nhân Dân, 0.6 for Ho Chi Minh). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Công An Nhân Dân have won 2, Ho Chi Minh have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.39. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 2.08 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Công An Nhân Dân to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | Công An Nhân Dân or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.08 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Công An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.09 | – |
Form
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Kyoto Sanga | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Oct | @ Song Lam Nghe An | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ SHANGHAI SIPG | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Thanh Hóa | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Ha Noi | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Kashima | 0–1 | L |
Ho Chi Minh – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Da Nang | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ Pho Hien | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Binh Dinh | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Phu Dong | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Bóng đá Huế | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | vs Viettel | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 30 Aug 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân v Ho Chi Minh | 5–0 |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Ho Chi Minh v Công An Nhân Dân | 0–3 |
More V.League 1 predictions
Hoang Anh Gia Lai2
Ha Noi1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.22
✓
FT
Hai Phong2
Song Lam Nghe An2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.28
✓
FT
Phu Dong2
Bắc Ninh1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Công An Nhân Dân vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Ho Chi Minh?
On our numbers Công An Nhân Dân have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ho Chi Minh 12%.
How many goals will there be in Công An Nhân Dân vs Ho Chi Minh?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Công An Nhân Dân vs Ho Chi Minh?
Công An Nhân Dân vs Ho Chi Minh (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.