V.League 1 · Vietnam
Hai Phong
Song Lam Nghe An
Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Song Lam Nghe An to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hai Phong 1.5 – 1.4 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Hai Phong and Song Lam Nghe An on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Hai Phong have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Song Lam Nghe An have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Hai Phong, 1.4 for Song Lam Nghe An). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hai Phong have won 0, Song Lam Nghe An have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Song Lam Nghe An to win at 3.10 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hai Phong to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.47 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hai Phong / FT Hai Phong ✗ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.71 | – |
Form
Hai Phong – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Bình Phước | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Da Nang | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Thanh Hóa | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Than Quang Ninh | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 3–1 | W |
Song Lam Nghe An – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Công An Nhân Dân | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Ho Chi Minh | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Lam Dong | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Ha Noi | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 7 Mar 2026 | Song Lam Nghe An v Hai Phong | 1–0 |
More V.League 1 predictions
Hoang Anh Gia Lai2
Ha Noi1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.22
✓
FT
Phu Dong2
Bắc Ninh1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
FT
Công An Nhân Dân2
Ho Chi Minh1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
72%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Hai Phong have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Song Lam Nghe An 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.