V.League 1 · Vietnam · Ninh Binh Stadium

Phu Dong

LLWDW
2–1
FT

Bắc Ninh

WDDLW

Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPhu Dong to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chancePhu Dong or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21

Win chances

Phu Dong64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Bắc Ninh14%fair 7.32 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.87Phu Dong xG
0.73Bắc Ninh xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Phu Dong 1.9 – 0.7 Bắc Ninh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Phu Dong are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Bắc Ninh.

Phu Dong have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bắc Ninh have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Phu Dong, 0.7 for Bắc Ninh). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.35.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhu Dong to win ✓64%1.561.60
Double chancePhu Dong or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
Half-time resultPhu Dong ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Phu Dong / FT Phu Dong ✓41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.21–

Form

Phu Dong – last 6

LLWDWW
30 Oct@ Ha Noi1–2L
25 Octvs Ho Chi Minh0–1L
18 Octvs Hoang Anh Gia Lai4–3W
10 Oct@ Nam Dinh1–1D
11 Sepvs Thanh Hóa2–1W
5 Sep@ Hai Phong4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bắc Ninh – last 6

WDDLWW
30 Octvs Hoang Anh Gia Lai1–0W
23 Oct@ Viettel2–2D
18 Octvs Bình Phước0–0D
11 Oct@ Ha Noi0–1L
19 Sep@ Long An3–2W
11 Sepvs Ho Chi Minh1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Phu Dong and Bắc Ninh.

More V.League 1 predictions

FT Hoang Anh Gia Lai2 Ha Noi1 142066 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT Hai Phong2 Song Lam Nghe An2 392437 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓ FT Công An Nhân Dân2 Ho Chi Minh1 662212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh?

On our numbers Phu Dong have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bắc Ninh 14%.

How many goals will there be in Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh?

Phu Dong vs Bắc Ninh (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ninh Binh Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.