Value bet: Be'sat Kermanshah to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBe'sat Kermanshah to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.06
Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Mes Rafsanjan take on Be'sat Kermanshah on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium. Mes Rafsanjan are 4th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Be'sat Kermanshah sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mes Rafsanjan's last 4: DDLW Most recently they drew with Mes Soongoun 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Be'sat Kermanshah's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Havadar 3–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mes Rafsanjan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.6 for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.8 for Be'sat Kermanshah. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mes Rafsanjan 32%, draw 24%, Be'sat Kermanshah 44%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.54.
Value angle: Be'sat Kermanshah to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Mes Rafsanjan 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mes Rafsanjan32%fair 3.11 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.79
Be'sat Kermanshah44%fair 2.28 · @2.62
1.39Expected goals
0.60Mes Rafsanjan xG
0.79Be'sat Kermanshah xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–025%
0–120%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Mes Rafsanjan 0.6 – 0.8 Be'sat Kermanshah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Be'sat Kermanshah to win✗
44%
2.28
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.54
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.17 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.06
–
Form
Mes Rafsanjan – last 4
DDLW
22 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Havadar
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Paykan
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Be'sat Kermanshah – last 6
WDLLLL
22 Sep
@ Havadar
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Naft Gachsaran
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
1–2
L
3 Jul
vs Fard Alborz
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Ario Eslamshahr
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Havadar
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Rafsanjan and Be'sat Kermanshah.
What is the prediction for Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
On our numbers Mes Rafsanjan have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Be'sat Kermanshah 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Our predicted score is Mes Rafsanjan 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
