Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cumbayá to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCumbayá to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceCumbayá or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.63
Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo preview and prediction
The match
Cumbayá host LDU Portoviejo in the Liga Pro Serie B on Wednesday 26 August, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT). Cumbayá are 10th with 26 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while LDU Portoviejo sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cumbayá's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Atletico FC 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU Portoviejo's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat 22 de Julio 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Cumbayá. Across their last 2 meetings Cumbayá have won 0, LDU Portoviejo 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Cumbayá and 0.5 for LDU Portoviejo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Cumbayá to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cumbayá or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cumbayá 1–0 LDU Portoviejo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cumbayá63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @2.90
LDU Portoviejo14%fair 7.30 · @3.90
1.89Expected goals
1.43Cumbayá xG
0.46LDU Portoviejo xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cumbayá 1.4 – 0.5 LDU Portoviejo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Our pick is Cumbayá or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
On our numbers Cumbayá have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LDU Portoviejo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Our predicted score is Cumbayá 1–0 LDU Portoviejo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.