Value bet: Carlos A. Mannucci to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlos A. Mannucci to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Molinos El Pirata take on Carlos A. Mannucci on Monday 7 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Molinos El Pirata are 4th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Carlos A. Mannucci sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Molinos El Pirata's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Academia Cantolao 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Carlos A. Mannucci's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Academia Cantolao 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carlos A. Mannucci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Carlos A. Mannucci 1–0 Molinos El Pirata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Molinos El Pirata and 1.3 for Carlos A. Mannucci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molinos El Pirata 33%, draw 22%, Carlos A. Mannucci 45%.
Value angle: Carlos A. Mannucci to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Molinos El Pirata 1–1 Carlos A. Mannucci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molinos El Pirata33%fair 3.01 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Carlos A. Mannucci45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
2.41Expected goals
1.08Molinos El Pirata xG
1.33Carlos A. Mannucci xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Molinos El Pirata 1.1 – 1.3 Carlos A. Mannucci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
On our numbers Molinos El Pirata have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carlos A. Mannucci 45%.
How many goals will there be in Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our predicted score is Molinos El Pirata 1–1 Carlos A. Mannucci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Molinos El Pirata vs Carlos A. Mannucci (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
