Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.36
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 4.00 – our chance 53% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +113%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw53% · @4.00
Double chanceTaguig or draw81% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–19% · fair 11.19
Taguig vs Tainan City preview and prediction
The match
Tainan City travel to Stadion Segiri in the AFC Challenge League on Sunday 18 October (09:00 WAT) to face Taguig.
Form guide
Taguig's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Manila Digger 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Tainan City's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Tatung 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Taguig and 1.7 for Tainan City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Taguig 27%, draw 53%, Tainan City 19%.
Safer route: Taguig or draw (81%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Draw at 4.00 – 53% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Taguig or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Taguig 1–1 Tainan City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Taguig27%fair 3.67 · @2.00
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @4.00
Tainan City19%fair 5.14 · @2.75
3.57Expected goals
1.88Taguig xG
1.69Tainan City xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Taguig 1.9 – 1.7 Tainan City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw
53%
1.88
4.00 ▲
Double chance
Taguig or draw
81%
1.24
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Taguig / FT Taguig
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1
9%
11.19
–
Form
Taguig – last 6
DDLLWW
30 May
@ Manila Digger
1–1
D
27 May
@ Davao Aguilas
1–1
D
23 May
vs Kaya
1–3
L
29 Apr
vs Manila Digger
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Dynamic Herb Cebu
4–1
W
25 Mar
@ Philippine Army
8–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tainan City – last 6
DLDDWW
11 Oct
@ Tatung
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs AC Taipei
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Hang Yuen
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ Central Stallions
2–2
D
30 May
vs Hang Yuen
1–0
W
24 May
vs Taichung Futuro
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Taguig and Tainan City.
Our pick is Taguig or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Taguig vs Tainan City?
On our numbers Taguig have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Tainan City 19%.
How many goals will there be in Taguig vs Tainan City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Taguig vs Tainan City?
Our predicted score is Taguig 1–1 Tainan City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Taguig vs Tainan City?
Taguig vs Tainan City (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Segiri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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