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Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Dr. Nicolás Leoz

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Libertad Asuncion to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction

The match

Sportivo Luqueno travel to Dr. Nicolás Leoz in the Division Profesional Clausura on Friday 23 October (23:30 WAT) to face Libertad Asuncion. Libertad Asuncion are 3rd with 33 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Sportivo Luqueno sit 8th on 22 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Sportivo Trinidense 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 1–2 Libertad Asuncion. Across their last 3 meetings Libertad Asuncion have won 3, Sportivo Luqueno 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Libertad Asuncion and 0.7 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Libertad Asuncion67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @4.00
Sportivo Luqueno9%fair 10.97 · @5.80
2.87Expected goals
2.13Libertad Asuncion xG
0.74Sportivo Luqueno xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 2.1 – 0.7 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓67%1.501.50
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓91%1.101.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultLibertad Asuncion ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.80–

Form

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LDWLDD
18 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense0–1L
11 Octvs Club Guarani2–2D
5 Oct@ Deportivo Recoleta2–1W
28 Sepvs Olimpia0–1L
23 Sep@ Fernando De La Mora1–1D
19 Sepvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

WLLDLW
18 Octvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–2W
10 Octvs Cerro Porteno0–3L
5 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense2–3L
1 Oct@ Olimpia1–1D
25 Sepvs Club Guarani0–1L
20 Sepvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion1–2
11 May 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion2–3
8 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Luqueno 9%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Nicolás Leoz.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.