Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result2 de Mayo to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.44
2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
2 de Mayo host Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional Clausura on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti. 2 de Mayo are 6th with 30 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
2 de Mayo's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Olimpia 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Rubio NU 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 August 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 1–2 2 de Mayo. Across their last 3 meetings 2 de Mayo have won 1, Deportivo Recoleta 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for 2 de Mayo and 1.2 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 2 de Mayo 40%, draw 24%, Deportivo Recoleta 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 2 de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
2 de Mayo40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Deportivo Recoleta36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.292 de Mayo xG
1.21Deportivo Recoleta xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 1.3 – 1.2 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Recoleta 36%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
