Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Sportivo Luqueno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Luqueno to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✓64% · @1.83
Double chanceSportivo Luqueno or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Sportivo Luqueno take on Club Sp. San Lorenzo on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 23:20 (WAT) at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres. Sportivo Luqueno are 8th with 22 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–2 Sportivo Luqueno. Across their last 3 meetings Sportivo Luqueno have won 1, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0, with 2 draws and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.7 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Luqueno 64%, draw 23%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14%.
Safer route: Sportivo Luqueno or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Sportivo Luqueno to win at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sportivo Luqueno or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Luqueno64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Club Sp. San Lorenzo14%fair 7.35 · @4.00
2.46Expected goals
1.78Sportivo Luqueno xG
0.68Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.8 – 0.7 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Sportivo Luqueno or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 23:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
