Value bet: Nacional Asuncion to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Club Guarani host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional Clausura on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rogelio Livieres. Club Guarani are 5th with 31 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Nacional Asuncion sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Club Guarani's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Libertad Asuncion 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Nacional Asuncion 0–0 Club Guarani. Across their last 2 meetings Club Guarani have won 0, Nacional Asuncion 1, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Club Guarani and 1.1 for Nacional Asuncion. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Guarani 34%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 40%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Nacional Asuncion to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Club Guarani 0–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Guarani34%fair 2.94 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
Nacional Asuncion40%fair 2.49 · @2.75
2.04Expected goals
0.96Club Guarani xG
1.08Nacional Asuncion xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.0 – 1.1 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Guarani have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nacional Asuncion 40%.
How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Guarani 0–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rogelio Livieres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
