Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Cerro Porteno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cerro Porteno to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Sportivo Luqueno take on Cerro Porteno on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 23:20 (WAT) at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres. Sportivo Luqueno are 8th with 22 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Cerro Porteno sit 7th on 28 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Sportivo Trinidense 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cerro Porteno's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to 2 de Mayo 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cerro Porteno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Cerro Porteno 3–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Across their last 2 meetings Sportivo Luqueno have won 0, Cerro Porteno 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.8 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Cerro Porteno to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerro Porteno or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Luqueno15%fair 6.45 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
Cerro Porteno60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
2.58Expected goals
0.79Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.79Cerro Porteno xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 0.8 – 1.8 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Cerro Porteno or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cerro Porteno 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 23:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
