Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani preview and prediction
The match
Club Guarani travel to Dr. Nicolás Leoz in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 11 October (23:20 WAT) to face Libertad Asuncion. Libertad Asuncion are 3rd with 33 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Club Guarani sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Deportivo Recoleta 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Club Guarani's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Club Guarani 2–1 Libertad Asuncion. Across their last 2 meetings Libertad Asuncion have won 0, Club Guarani 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.1 for Club Guarani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad Asuncion 40%, draw 24%, Club Guarani 36%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Club Guarani to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Guarani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion40%fair 2.49 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Club Guarani36%fair 2.81 · @3.50
2.27Expected goals
1.18Libertad Asuncion xG
1.09Club Guarani xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.2 – 1.1 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Guarani 36%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:20 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Nicolás Leoz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
