Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.56
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Libertad Asuncion travel to Estadio Roque F. Batelhana in the Division Profesional Clausura on Monday 5 October (14:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Recoleta. Deportivo Recoleta are 11th with 16 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Libertad Asuncion sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Olimpia 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 July 2026, finished Libertad Asuncion 4–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Across their last 2 meetings Deportivo Recoleta have won 0, Libertad Asuncion 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.9 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Recoleta25%fair 4.08 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @3.80
Libertad Asuncion61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
2.88Expected goals
1.02Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.86Libertad Asuncion xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 – 1.9 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Libertad Asuncion 61%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
