Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Olimpia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.53
Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Olimpia take on Nacional Asuncion on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 23:15 (WAT) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. Olimpia are 1st with 42 points from 19 games (top of the table), while Nacional Asuncion sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Olimpia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Independiente F.b.c. 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 July 2026, finished Nacional Asuncion 2–0 Olimpia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Olimpia and 0.8 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olimpia 59%, draw 21%, Nacional Asuncion 20%.
Safer route: Olimpia or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Olimpia to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olimpia or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Olimpia 1–0 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.20
Nacional Asuncion20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
2.33Expected goals
1.58Olimpia xG
0.75Nacional Asuncion xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.6 – 0.8 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional Asuncion 20%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
