Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.02
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
Club Sp. San Lorenzo host Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional Clausura on Monday 28 September, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Gunther Vogel. Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th with 11 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat 4 de Mayo 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Guairena FC 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Across their last 2 meetings Club Sp. San Lorenzo have won 0, Deportivo Recoleta 1, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.6 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 29%, draw 22%, Deportivo Recoleta 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 2.38 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo29%fair 3.40 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Deportivo Recoleta48%fair 2.08 · @2.38
2.77Expected goals
1.18Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.59Deportivo Recoleta xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.2 – 1.6 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Recoleta 48%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
