2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.85
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees 2 de Mayo take on Libertad Asuncion on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). 2 de Mayo are 6th with 30 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Libertad Asuncion sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
2 de Mayo's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Rubio NU 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
2 de Mayo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Libertad Asuncion 0–0 2 de Mayo. Across their last 2 meetings 2 de Mayo have won 0, Libertad Asuncion 1, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for 2 de Mayo and 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 2 de Mayo 16%, draw 20%, Libertad Asuncion 64%.
Safer route: Libertad Asuncion or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 2 de Mayo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
2 de Mayo16%fair 6.27 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.25
Libertad Asuncion64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.722 de Mayo xG
1.78Libertad Asuncion xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 0.7 – 1.8 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Libertad Asuncion 64%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
