Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno host Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional Clausura on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas. Cerro Porteno are 7th with 28 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Nacional Asuncion sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Deportivo Recoleta 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Nacional Asuncion 0–0 Cerro Porteno. Across their last 2 meetings Cerro Porteno have won 0, Nacional Asuncion 1, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Cerro Porteno and 1.2 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Porteno 38%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno38%fair 2.66 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.80
Nacional Asuncion36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.23Cerro Porteno xG
1.21Nacional Asuncion xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.2 – 1.2 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nacional Asuncion 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
