Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Nacional Asuncion take on Libertad Asuncion on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arsenio Erico. Nacional Asuncion are 4th with 32 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Libertad Asuncion sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Nacional Asuncion 2–1 Libertad Asuncion. Across their last 2 meetings Nacional Asuncion have won 1, Libertad Asuncion 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.1 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Asuncion 40%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Asuncion40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Libertad Asuncion34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
2.40Expected goals
1.26Nacional Asuncion xG
1.14Libertad Asuncion xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.3 – 1.1 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Libertad Asuncion 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
