Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Belasica to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelasica to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceBelasica or draw ✓85% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Osogovo vs Belasica preview and prediction
The match
Osogovo host Belasica in the Cup on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Osogovo's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Detonit Plachkovica 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belasica's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Kozuv Gevgelija 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belasica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Belasica 1–0 Osogovo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Osogovo and 1.9 for Belasica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Osogovo 15%, draw 19%, Belasica 66%.
Safer route: Belasica or draw (85%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Belasica to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Belasica or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Osogovo 0–1 Belasica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osogovo15%fair 6.71 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.40
Belasica66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
2.67Expected goals
0.75Osogovo xG
1.92Belasica xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Osogovo 0.8 – 1.9 Belasica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Belasica or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Osogovo vs Belasica?
On our numbers Osogovo have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Belasica 66%.
How many goals will there be in Osogovo vs Belasica?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osogovo vs Belasica?
Our predicted score is Osogovo 0–1 Belasica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Osogovo vs Belasica?
Osogovo vs Belasica (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Novaci1
Ohrid0
Teteks1
Bregalnica Štip4