FC Santiago vs Real Refineros prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Santiago to win ✓69% · @1.17
Double chanceFC Santiago or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.11
FC Santiago vs Real Refineros preview and prediction
The match
Real Refineros travel to face FC Santiago in the Liga Premier Serie A on Tuesday 27 October (03:05 WAT). FC Santiago are 1st with 24 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Real Refineros sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Santiago's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Real Apodaca 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Refineros's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Guerreros del Pacifico 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Santiago arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for FC Santiago and 1.0 for Real Refineros. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Santiago 69%, draw 18%, Real Refineros 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: FC Santiago 2–1 Real Refineros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Santiago69%fair 1.45 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @6.50
Real Refineros13%fair 7.56 · @13.00
3.38Expected goals
2.41FC Santiago xG
0.97Real Refineros xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: FC Santiago 2.4 – 1.0 Real Refineros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Santiago to win✓
69%
1.45
1.17
Double chance
FC Santiago or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
FC Santiago ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Santiago / FT FC Santiago✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
FC Santiago – last 6
WWDLWW
17 Oct
vs Real Apodaca
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
2–0
W
5 Oct
vs Guerreros
2–2
D
25 Sep
@ Acatlan
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Atlético Saltillo
4–1
W
5 Sep
vs Héroes de Zaci
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Refineros – last 6
DLLDDW
17 Oct
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
3–3
D
10 Oct
vs Halcones Negros
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ Dragones de Oaxaca
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Delfines Coatzacoalcos
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Calor de San Pedro
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Cañoneros Marina
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Santiago and Real Refineros.
What is the prediction for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
On our numbers FC Santiago have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Refineros 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
Our predicted score is FC Santiago 2–1 Real Refineros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
FC Santiago vs Real Refineros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 03:05 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
