Liga Premier Serie A · MexicoHalcones Negros vs Calor de San Pedro prediction & analysis
Halcones Negros to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Halcones Negros 1.7 – 0.5 Calor de San Pedro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Halcones Negros are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 11% for Calor de San Pedro.
Halcones Negros have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches (1W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Calor de San Pedro have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Calor de San Pedro come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Halcones Negros, 0.5 for Calor de San Pedro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Halcones Negros to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Halcones Negros to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Halcones Negros or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Halcones Negros ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Halcones Negros / FT Halcones Negros ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.65 | – |
Form
Halcones Negros – last 4
| 19 Sep | @ Artesanos Metepec | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Guerreros del Pacifico | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Dragones de Oaxaca | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 0–0 | D |
Calor de San Pedro – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Ciervos | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Real Refineros | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Artesanos Metepec | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Mar | @ Sporting Canamy | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | @ FC Santiago | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | vs Ciervos | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Halcones Negros and Calor de San Pedro.
Liga Premier Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Santiago | 11 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 |  Acatlan | 11 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 11 | +18 | 22 |
| 4 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Real Apodaca | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 10 | -26 | 2 |
| 1 |  Dragones de Oaxaca | 10 | +19 | 25 |
| 2 |  Artesanos Metepec | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Acambaro | 11 | +17 | 23 |
| 4 |  Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Halcones Negros | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 11 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Real Refineros | 11 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Ciervos | 11 | -27 | 5 |
| 10 |  Cañoneros Marina | 10 | -36 | 0 |
More Liga Premier Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Halcones Negros vs Calor de San Pedro?
Our pick is Halcones Negros to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Halcones Negros vs Calor de San Pedro?
On our numbers Halcones Negros have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Calor de San Pedro 11%.
How many goals will there be in Halcones Negros vs Calor de San Pedro?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Halcones Negros vs Calor de San Pedro?
Halcones Negros vs Calor de San Pedro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.