Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago prediction & analysis
55%
Footrivo pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 2.15
4/10Rating
2.15Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Santiago to win43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–121% · fair 4.79
Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago preview and prediction
The match
FC Santiago travel to face Mineros de Fresnillo in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 12 September (19:00 WAT). Mineros de Fresnillo are 4th with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while FC Santiago sit 1st on 24 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mineros de Fresnillo's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Correcaminos UAT II 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Santiago's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Héroes de Zaci 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Santiago arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.4 for Mineros de Fresnillo and 0.6 for FC Santiago. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mineros de Fresnillo 34%, draw 22%, FC Santiago 43%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 2.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 FC Santiago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mineros de Fresnillo34%fair 2.91 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
FC Santiago43%fair 2.30 · @2.38
1.00Expected goals
0.43Mineros de Fresnillo xG
0.57FC Santiago xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–03%
From our goals model: Mineros de Fresnillo 0.4 – 0.6 FC Santiago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Santiago to win
43%
2.30
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
67%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
21%
4.79
–
Form
Mineros de Fresnillo – last 5
DDDLL
5 Sep
@ Correcaminos UAT II
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Cimarrones
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Durango
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Los Cabos United
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Santiago – last 6
WLLWWW
5 Sep
vs Héroes de Zaci
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Vaqueros Reynosa
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Zacatepec 1948
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Ciervos
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs Calor de San Pedro
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Zap
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Fresnillo and FC Santiago.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
On our numbers Mineros de Fresnillo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Santiago 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 FC Santiago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
