Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Molinos El Pirata or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Molinos El Pirata to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolinos El Pirata to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceMolinos El Pirata or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 15.85
Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata preview and prediction
The match
Academia Cantolao host Molinos El Pirata in the Segunda División on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 16:45 (WAT). Academia Cantolao are 8th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Molinos El Pirata sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Academia Cantolao's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Union Comercio 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Molinos El Pirata's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Union Comercio 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Molinos El Pirata 2–1 Academia Cantolao.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Academia Cantolao and 1.9 for Molinos El Pirata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Academia Cantolao 20%, draw 21%, Molinos El Pirata 59%.
Safer route: Molinos El Pirata or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Molinos El Pirata to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Molinos El Pirata or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Academia Cantolao 0–1 Molinos El Pirata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Academia Cantolao20%fair 4.92 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Molinos El Pirata59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
2.85Expected goals
0.98Academia Cantolao xG
1.87Molinos El Pirata xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Academia Cantolao 1.0 – 1.9 Molinos El Pirata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our pick is Molinos El Pirata or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata?
On our numbers Academia Cantolao have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Molinos El Pirata 59%.
How many goals will there be in Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our predicted score is Academia Cantolao 0–1 Molinos El Pirata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata?
Academia Cantolao vs Molinos El Pirata (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
