Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 4.20 – our chance 32% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes L.P. travel to Neo Quimica Arena in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 17 September (01:30 WAT) to face Corinthians. Corinthians are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Estudiantes L.P. sit 2nd on 9 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Corinthians's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Flamengo 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Platense 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 September 2026, finished Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Corinthians.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Corinthians and 0.8 for Estudiantes L.P.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 4.20 – 32% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Corinthians 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corinthians43%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Estudiantes L.P.32%fair 3.08 · @4.20
1.83Expected goals
1.02Corinthians xG
0.81Estudiantes L.P. xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.0 – 0.8 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estudiantes L.P. 32%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
