Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.20
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Palmeiras take on LDU de Quito on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Palmeiras are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while LDU de Quito sit 1st on 12 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Botafogo 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Tecnico Universitario 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Palmeiras and 0.5 for LDU de Quito. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palmeiras 66%, draw 20%, LDU de Quito 13%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palmeiras to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras66%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.80
LDU de Quito13%fair 7.56 · @13.00
2.13Expected goals
1.62Palmeiras xG
0.51LDU de Quito xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.6 – 0.5 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
66%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.20
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 6
DDDWWW
6 Sep
@ Botafogo
0–0
D
3 Sep
@ Santos
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Mirassol
1–1
D
27 Aug
vs Santos
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
4–1
W
19 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
WDLWWD
5 Sep
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–1
W
2 Sep
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Guayaquil City FC
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Aucas
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Emelec
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Mirassol
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and LDU de Quito 13%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
